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What will be Japan's foreign policy stance towards the U.S. by the end of 2025?
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Shigeru Ishiba•Takeo Akiba•Japan•National Security Secretariat•Masataka Okano•Akiba•Okano•Foreign Ministry•Donald Trump
Resolution / Starting Odds
Strengthened ties • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
Strained relations • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Official Japanese government announcements or reports from major news outlets
Story
Japan's PM Ishiba to Replace National Security Head Akiba with Okano Amid Trump's Administration Change
Jan 7, 2025, 02:06 AM
Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba is considering replacing Takeo Akiba, the 66-year-old Secretary General of Japan's National Security Secretariat, with 60-year-old Vice Foreign Minister Masataka Okano. Akiba, who has been in his position since July 2021, is set to retire this month. Okano, currently the top official at the Foreign Ministry, is expected to take over the role, which involves coordinating and planning Japan's foreign and security policies. The transition is being planned in alignment with the upcoming change in the U.S. administration, as President Donald Trump prepares to take office.
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Improved relations • 25%
Severe deterioration • 25%
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Strained relations • 25%
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Formal trade dispute • 25%
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Status quo maintained • 25%
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No change in policies • 25%
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Relaxed policies • 25%
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Economic Partnership • 25%
Security Cooperation • 25%
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Cultural Exchange • 25%
Increase to 3% of GDP • 25%
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Yes • 50%
U.S. pressure • 25%
North Korean threats • 25%
Chinese military activities • 25%
Domestic political factors • 25%
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