Loading...
Market
What will be Iran's diplomatic response to Naim Qassem's relocation by mid-2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Public support for Qassem • 25%
Denial of involvement • 25%
No official response • 25%
Other response • 25%
Official statements from the Iranian government or credible news reports
Story
Hezbollah Deputy Naim Qassem Flees Lebanon with Iran's Foreign Minister Amid Assassination Fears
Oct 20, 2024, 08:38 AM
According to media reports, Naim Qassem, the Deputy Secretary-General of Hezbollah, has fled Lebanon to Iran due to fears of an assassination attempt by Israel. After delivering a speech on September 30, during which he was reportedly sweating profusely, Qassem left Beirut with Iran's foreign minister on October 5, boarding an Iranian plane. He is now believed to be residing in Tehran, with some sources indicating that his transfer was arranged by top Iranian officials. Qassem's decision appears to be driven by concerns for his safety amid escalating tensions.
View original story
Similar markets
Increased sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Military action • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Continues as leader • 25%
Resigns • 25%
Assassinated • 25%
Replaced by another leader • 25%
Sever diplomatic ties with Israel • 25%
Increase diplomatic efforts with regional allies • 25%
Both actions • 25%
No significant diplomatic actions • 25%
Increased Tensions with Israel • 25%
Increased Tensions with Other Countries • 25%
No Significant Diplomatic Change • 25%
Other • 25%
Military retaliation • 25%
Diplomatic condemnation • 25%
Economic actions • 25%
Other • 25%
Retaliation against Israel • 25%
Diplomatic response • 25%
No official response • 25%
Other • 25%
Lebanon • 25%
Iran • 25%
Syria • 25%
Other • 25%
Sanctions imposed • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Military actions • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Increase diplomatic efforts for peace • 25%
Focus on regional alliances • 25%
Maintain current stance • 25%
Withdraw from regional involvement • 25%
