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What will be identified as the primary method used in 2024 election interference by sanctioned entities by end of 2025?
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Iran•Russia•Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps•IRGC•Cognitive Design Production Center•Main Intelligence Directorate•GRU•Center for Geopolitical Expertise•Valery Mikhaylovich Korovin•Treasury•American
Resolution / Starting Odds
Deepfakes • 25%
Social media manipulation • 25%
Hacking and data breaches • 25%
Other methods • 25%
Reports from cybersecurity firms, intelligence agencies, or major news outlets
Story
U.S. Sanctions IRGC and GRU Affiliates for Using Deepfakes and AI in 2024 Election Interference
Dec 31, 2024, 04:40 PM
The U.S. Treasury Department has imposed sanctions on entities in Iran and Russia accused of attempting to interfere in the 2024 U.S. election. The sanctioned entities include a subsidiary of Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC), the Cognitive Design Production Center, and a Moscow-based affiliate of Russia's Main Intelligence Directorate (GRU), the Center for Geopolitical Expertise, along with its director Valery Mikhaylovich Korovin. According to the Treasury, these groups used deepfakes and AI tools to stoke socio-political tensions and influence the U.S. electorate. Bradley T. Smith, the Acting Under Secretary of the Treasury for Terrorism and Financial Intelligence, stated that the governments of Iran and Russia have targeted U.S. election processes and institutions, seeking to divide the American people through targeted disinformation campaigns. The U.S. remains committed to countering such threats to its democracy.
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Social Engineering • 25%
Deepfakes • 25%
Other • 25%
Advanced AI Tools • 25%
Other • 25%
Russia • 25%
Iran • 25%
China • 25%
Other countries • 25%
No interference identified • 25%
China • 25%
India • 25%
Google • 25%
None • 25%
Microsoft • 25%
Meta • 25%
Both equally • 25%
Iran • 25%
Russia • 25%
Neither • 25%
Military support • 25%
Cybersecurity threats • 25%
Disinformation campaigns • 25%
Financial networks • 25%
Neither • 25%
Iran • 25%
Russia • 25%
Both equally • 25%
Cybersecurity firms • 25%
Telecom companies • 25%
Government agencies • 25%
Other entities • 25%
Other • 25%
Exploiting software vulnerabilities • 25%
Phishing • 25%
Insider threats • 25%
Center for Geopolitical Expertise (CGE) • 25%
Cognitive Design Production Center (CDPC) • 25%
Both equally affected • 25%
Neither significantly affected • 25%
Treasury Department • 25%
Office of the Director of National Intelligence • 25%
Department of Homeland Security • 25%
Department of Justice • 25%
Phishing attacks • 25%
Other • 25%
Insider threats • 25%
Exploiting software vulnerabilities • 25%