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What will be Hezbollah's response to the sabotage attacks by December 31, 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Retaliatory attacks against Israel • 25%
Increased security measures • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Other • 25%
Credible news reports
Story
Iran's IRGC Bans Communication Devices After Deadly Hezbollah Attacks by Israel
Sep 23, 2024, 06:29 AM
Iran's elite Revolutionary Guards Corps (IRGC) has ordered all members to stop using any type of communication devices after thousands of pagers and walkie-talkies used by its Hezbollah allies in Lebanon blew up in deadly attacks last week. The directive follows a series of sabotage attacks attributed to Israel, which targeted Hezbollah's communication infrastructure. The IRGC has initiated a large-scale operation to inspect all electronic devices among its 190,000 members to prevent further breaches, Reuters reported.
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Civilian targets • 25%
Military installations • 25%
Both civilian and military • 25%
No retaliation • 25%
Airstrikes • 25%
Ground invasion • 25%
Cyber attacks • 25%
Other • 25%
Retaliatory attack on Israel • 25%
Increase in propaganda efforts • 25%
Seek diplomatic intervention • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Missile attack on Israel • 25%
Ground attack on Israeli forces • 25%
Cyber attack • 25%
No significant retaliation • 25%
Rocket attacks on Israel • 25%
Bombing or assassination attempts • 25%
Cyber-attacks • 25%
Other • 25%
Another rocket attack on Israel • 25%
Ground incursion into Israel • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Other • 25%
Leadership Change • 25%
Increased Aggression • 25%
Calls for Ceasefire • 25%
No Significant Change • 25%
Increased attacks on Israel • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other • 25%
Rocket attack on Israel • 25%
Ground attack on Israel • 25%
No response • 25%
Other • 25%