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What will be Hezbollah's response to Imad Amhaz's capture by the end of 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
No response • 25%
Verbal condemnation • 25%
Military retaliation • 25%
Other diplomatic actions • 25%
Official statements from Hezbollah or news reports
Story
Israeli Commandos Reportedly Capture Hezbollah's Amhaz in Batroun Raid with 25 Soldiers
Nov 2, 2024, 11:30 AM
Israeli naval commandos reportedly conducted a raid in Batroun, northern Lebanon, early Saturday morning, capturing a Lebanese individual reported to be Hezbollah official and sea captain Imad Amhaz. The operation allegedly involved over 25 soldiers, including marines and divers, who arrived via speedboats and raided a chalet near the beach. The commandos swiftly took Amhaz into custody and departed. Some reports indicate that the raid was coordinated with the German navy, part of the UNIFIL mission. Batroun is located south of Tripoli and about 40 kilometers north of Beirut. CCTV footage purportedly captures the Israeli special marine force during the operation.
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Military retaliation • 25%
Diplomatic condemnation • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Increased propaganda efforts • 25%
Imad Amhaz released • 25%
Imad Amhaz charged • 25%
Imad Amhaz remains in detention • 25%
Outcome remains undisclosed • 25%
Call for retaliation • 25%
Demand for international inquiry • 25%
No official response • 25%
Other • 25%
Military retaliation • 25%
Diplomatic condemnation • 25%
Cyber operations • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Increase in attacks against Israel • 25%
Increase in attacks against US interests • 25%
Diplomatic condemnation only • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Retaliation against Israel • 25%
Internal crackdown within Hezbollah • 25%
Public denial of the incident • 25%
Other response • 25%
Retaliate against Germany • 25%
Increase attacks on Israel • 25%
No significant actions • 25%
Other • 25%
Missile attacks on Israel • 25%
Border skirmishes • 25%
Cyber attacks • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Major military attack • 25%
Limited skirmishes • 25%
Diplomatic condemnation only • 25%
Major military retaliation • 25%
Minor skirmishes or attacks • 25%
Diplomatic or political actions • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Formal protest lodged with UN • 25%
Bilateral talks with Israel • 25%
No official action taken • 25%
Other diplomatic actions • 25%
Condemnation of Israel's actions • 25%
Support for Israel's actions • 25%
Calls for de-escalation • 25%
No significant reaction • 25%