Loading...
Market
What will be determined as the cause of the Niagara Falls incident by March 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Accidental • 25%
Intentional • 25%
Criminal Act • 25%
Undetermined • 25%
Official reports or announcements from investigative authorities
Story
Mother and Her Children, 9 and 5 Months, Presumed Dead After Intentional Plunge Over Niagara Falls
Oct 30, 2024, 08:52 PM
On Monday night, a tragic and apparently intentional incident occurred at Niagara Falls when a 33-year-old mother and her two children—a 9-year-old and a 5-month-old—went over the Falls from Luna Island near Goat Island. According to New York State Police and New York Park Police, the family crossed over a safety guard rail around 9 p.m. before going over the edge. The mother and her children are presumed dead, and search and rescue efforts have been unsuccessful, with no bodies recovered yet. The investigation into the incident is ongoing.
View original story
Similar markets
Mental health issues • 25%
Domestic issues • 25%
Financial issues • 25%
Other • 25%
Mother • 25%
Park authorities • 25%
No one • 25%
Other • 25%
Structural failure • 25%
Natural disaster • 25%
Human error • 25%
Other • 25%
Structural failure • 25%
Manufacturing defect • 25%
Maintenance error • 25%
Other • 25%
Natural causes (e.g., downpours, prolonged inundation) • 25%
Structural failure • 25%
Human error • 25%
Other • 25%
Torrential rains/flash floods • 25%
Structural failure • 25%
Human error • 25%
Other • 25%
Natural causes • 25%
Mining activity • 25%
Construction activity • 25%
Unknown/Other • 25%
Abandoned Mine • 25%
Natural Erosion • 25%
Construction Activity • 25%
Unknown/Other • 25%
Pilot error • 25%
Mechanical failure • 25%
Weather conditions • 25%
Other • 25%
Weather conditions • 25%
Boat overloading • 25%
Mechanical failure • 25%
Other • 25%
Mechanical failure • 25%
Human error • 25%
Weather conditions • 25%
Other • 25%