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What will be confirmed as the motive behind the Jaffa Light Rail Station attack by November 30, 2024?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Terrorism • 25%
Personal vendetta • 25%
Mental illness • 25%
Other • 25%
Israeli police or major news outlets
Story
Two Gunmen Attack Jaffa Light Rail Station; At Least Three Dead, Ten Injured in Tel Aviv Area
Oct 1, 2024, 04:19 PM
A shooting incident occurred in Tel Aviv and the neighboring suburb of Jaffa, resulting in multiple casualties, including at least three fatalities. Two attackers armed with rifles opened fire at a light rail station on Jerusalem Boulevard in Jaffa. Israeli police have confirmed the incident, suspecting terrorism as the motive. Ten people have been injured, with four in critical condition. One attacker has been neutralized, while the second is reportedly still at large. Security forces have been deployed to the area, and authorities are urging the public to stay away from the affected locations.
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Personal vendetta • 25%
Gang-related • 25%
Business dispute • 25%
Other • 25%
Terrorist Attack • 25%
Criminal Activity • 25%
Accidental Explosion • 25%
Other • 25%
Terrorism • 25%
Mental Health Issues • 25%
Personal Grievance • 25%
Other • 25%
Lone wolf attacker • 25%
Hamas • 25%
Islamic Jihad • 25%
Other group • 25%
Israeli citizen • 25%
Palestinian from West Bank • 25%
Foreign national • 25%
Unidentified • 25%
Individual acting alone • 25%
Organized crime group • 25%
Business rival • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Hamas • 25%
Islamic Jihad • 25%
Another organization • 25%
No claim of responsibility • 25%
Terrorism • 25%
Mental illness • 25%
Personal vendetta • 25%
Other • 25%
Terrorism • 25%
Political • 25%
Personal vendetta • 25%
Unknown • 25%
Lone wolf attack • 25%
Part of an organized group • 25%
Unrelated criminal activity • 25%
Undetermined • 25%
Affiliated with a known terrorist organization • 25%
Lone wolves with no known affiliation • 25%
Affiliated with a local criminal group • 25%
Other • 25%