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Market
What will be China's stance on Iranian oil imports by end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Increase imports • 25%
Maintain current level • 25%
Decrease imports • 25%
Ban imports • 25%
Official announcements from Chinese government or credible news reports
Story
China Approves Iran's Shipment of 3 Million Barrels of Oil, Raising $1 Billion Amid Sanctions
Jan 11, 2025, 04:30 PM
Iran has shipped nearly three million barrels of oil from a storage facility in China, marking the first time Beijing has approved such a move, according to a Wall Street Journal report. The oil, part of reserves stored in China since 2018 totaling at least 25 million barrels, was exported following discussions between Iranian and Chinese officials in late 2024. Reports suggest the shipment could generate up to $1 billion for Iran, with funds potentially being used to support allied militia groups in the Middle East, including those linked to the IRGC. The decision by China to allow the shipment comes amid ongoing U.S. sanctions targeting Iran's oil exports, which have complicated logistics and reduced overall exports to China. This development highlights Iran's efforts to navigate sanctions and raise funds through its oil reserves.
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Similar markets
Other diplomatic actions • 25%
Maintain current import levels • 25%
Increase imports from Iran • 25%
Decrease imports from Iran • 25%
No change in agreements • 25%
Decreased export agreements • 25%
Increased export agreements • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
China remains the largest buyer • 25%
India becomes the largest buyer • 25%
European countries become major buyers • 25%
Other countries become major buyers • 25%
China • 25%
India • 25%
Turkey • 25%
Other • 25%
