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What will be Chase Oliver's support level in national polls leading up to the 2024 Presidential Election?
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Chase Oliver•Libertarian Party•Oliver•Libertarian•None of the Above•Donald Trump•Joe Biden•Mises Caucus
Resolution / Starting Odds
Below 5% support • 25%
5% to 10% support • 25%
10% to 15% support • 25%
Above 15% support • 25%
Major polling agencies
Story
Chase Oliver Nominated as Libertarian Party's 2024 Presidential Candidate on Seventh Ballot
May 27, 2024, 02:17 AM
Chase Oliver has been officially nominated as the Libertarian Party's presidential candidate for the 2024 election. Oliver, a homosexual activist, secured the nomination on the seventh ballot, becoming the first openly gay Libertarian presidential candidate in history. Notably, 37% of the party voted for 'None of the Above' (NOTA), which, if it had won, would have resulted in the party not fielding a candidate. Oliver's nomination introduces a new contender against Donald Trump and Joe Biden. The nomination was notably supported by the Mises Caucus, and Oliver is recognized for his antiwar stance.
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Similar markets
Less than 1% • 25%
1% to 3% • 25%
3% to 5% • 25%
More than 5% • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Negative impact • 33%
No significant impact • 34%
Positive impact • 33%
Increases fragmentation within the party • 33%
Strengthens unity within the party • 34%
No significant change • 33%
Increase in support • 33%
No change in support • 33%
Decrease in support • 34%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Below 40% • 25%
40% to 50% • 25%
50% to 60% • 25%
Above 60% • 25%
Biden ≤ 45% • 33%
Biden 46-49% • 33%
Biden ≥ 50% • 33%
Above 60% • 33%
Between 40% and 60% • 33%
Below 40% • 33%
Increased support • 33%
Unchanged support • 33%
Decreased support • 34%
Less than 40% • 25%
40% to 49% • 25%
50% to 59% • 25%
60% or more • 25%