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What will be AfD's vote share in the next European Parliament election?
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European Parliament•German•Olaf Scholz•Social Democrats•SPD•Alternative for Germany•AfD•Germany•Europe
Resolution / Starting Odds
Less than 15% • 25%
15% to 20% • 25%
20% to 25% • 25%
More than 25% • 25%
Official election results published by European Parliament
Story
German SPD Suffers Historic Defeat with 14% in EU Elections, Far-Right AfD Rises to 16.5%
Jun 9, 2024, 04:13 PM
In the recent European Parliament elections, German Chancellor Olaf Scholz’s Social Democrats (SPD) experienced a significant decline, securing only 14% of the vote. This marks their worst-ever result, placing them in third position behind the far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD), which garnered 16.5%. The AfD's performance, up from 11% in 2019, translates to 16 seats in the European Parliament, while the SPD is expected to secure 14 seats. The traffic light coalition in Germany suffered a historic rout, reflecting a broader trend of rising support for far-right parties across Europe.
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Similar markets
Less than 30% • 25%
30% to 35% • 25%
35% to 40% • 25%
More than 40% • 25%
Increase in vote share • 33%
Decrease in vote share • 33%
No significant change in vote share • 34%
Below 20% • 25%
20-30% • 25%
30-40% • 25%
Above 40% • 25%
Less than 14% • 33%
14% to 20% • 34%
More than 20% • 33%
