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What type of retaliatory action will Hezbollah, Iran, or Yemen take by the end of 2024?
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Hezbollah•Fouad Shakar•Israel•Ismail Haniya•Hamas•Tehran•Hassan Nasrallah•Iran•Yemen•Nasrallah•Israeli•Beirut•Hudaydah
Resolution / Starting Odds
Military strike • 25%
Cyber attack • 25%
Terrorist attack • 25%
No significant action • 25%
News reports from credible sources such as Reuters, BBC, or Al Jazeera
Story
Hezbollah, Iran, Yemen Vow Strong and Effective Retaliation After Leaders' Assassinations
Aug 6, 2024, 03:53 PM
This week, the head of Hezbollah's strategic array, Fouad Shakar, was eliminated by Israel, and Ismail Haniya, the leader of Hamas' political bureau, was killed in Tehran by an unidentified entity. In response, Hezbollah's Secretary-General Hassan Nasrallah declared that Hezbollah, along with Iran and Yemen, is obliged to retaliate. Nasrallah emphasized that the resistance will not let Israeli attacks, including those on Beirut's southern suburbs, pass by without a strong and effective response. He also criticized the international community for calling on Hezbollah to restrain itself while allowing Israeli actions to go uncondemned. Nasrallah indicated that the response could come alone or with the entire resistance axis, and that the enemy is waiting and calculating every hit against it. Additionally, Nasrallah mentioned that the bombing of Hudaydah would also be avenged.
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Similar markets
Missile attacks • 25%
Border skirmishes • 25%
Terrorist attacks • 25%
Other • 25%
Rocket attacks on Israel • 25%
Bombing or assassination attempts • 25%
Cyber-attacks • 25%
Other • 25%
Major military retaliation • 25%
Minor military retaliation • 25%
Non-military retaliation • 25%
No retaliation • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Civilian targets • 25%
Military installations • 25%
Both civilian and military • 25%
No retaliation • 25%
Missile attack on Israel • 25%
Ground attack on Israeli forces • 25%
Cyber attack • 25%
No significant retaliation • 25%
Rocket attacks • 25%
Ground operations • 25%
Cyber attacks • 25%
Other • 25%
Rocket attacks • 25%
Drone strikes • 25%
Ground incursions • 25%
Other • 25%
