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What type of retaliation will Iran use against Israel if a strike occurs by the end of 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Missile attack • 25%
Cyber attack • 25%
Terrorist attack • 25%
Diplomatic measures only • 25%
Reports from credible news agencies such as Reuters, BBC, or official government announcements
Story
US Urgently Deploys THAAD to Israel for First Time Ahead of Anticipated Israeli Strike
Oct 12, 2024, 05:36 PM
The United States is urgently deploying a $3 billion Terminal High Altitude Area Defense (THAAD) missile defense system to Israel for the first time, according to reports from Israeli media. The deployment, which will involve American soldiers operating a single THAAD battery on Israeli soil, is part of preparations for a possible Iranian response to an anticipated Israeli strike. The THAAD system, comparable to Israel's "Arrow" system, is designed to intercept short, medium, and intermediate-range ballistic missiles during their terminal phase, bolstering Israel's defenses against potential attacks from Iran. The move underscores heightened tensions in the region and signals expectations of a significant Israeli military action that may provoke Iranian retaliation.
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Ballistic missiles • 25%
Drones • 25%
Cyberattack • 25%
Other • 25%
Airstrike • 25%
Cyber attack • 25%
None • 25%
Military Strike • 25%
Cyber Attack • 25%
Diplomatic Measures • 25%
No Retaliation • 25%
Missile attack • 25%
Cyberattack • 25%
Diplomatic measures • 25%
No retaliation • 25%
Missile strike • 25%
Cyber attack • 25%
Proxy attack through Hezbollah or other groups • 25%
Other • 25%
Military Strike • 25%
Cyber Attack • 25%
Economic Sanctions • 25%
No Retaliation • 25%
Military action • 25%
Cyber attack • 25%
Diplomatic measures • 25%
No retaliation • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Ballistic missiles • 25%
Drones • 25%
Cyber attack • 25%
Combination of methods • 25%
Airstrike • 25%
Cyberattack • 25%
No retaliation • 25%
Other • 25%
Airstrike on Iranian military targets • 25%
Cyberattack on Iranian infrastructure • 25%
Diplomatic sanctions or measures • 25%
No significant retaliation • 25%
Economic sanctions or actions • 25%
No retaliation • 25%
Military strike • 25%
Cyber attack • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic measures • 25%
Military strike • 25%
Cyber attack • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic measures • 25%