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What type of reforms will the new Iranian president implement within the first 100 days by October 14, 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Economic reforms • 25%
Social reforms • 25%
Political reforms • 25%
No significant reforms • 25%
Official government announcements, policy changes, or significant reforms enacted
Story
Masoud Pezeshkian Leads in Iran's Presidential Runoff with Nearly 50% Turnout
Jul 5, 2024, 07:32 PM
Iranians participated in a run-off presidential election on Friday amid widespread voter apathy and heightened regional tensions. The election presented a stark choice between anti-Western hard-liner Saeed Jalili and reformist Masoud Pezeshkian. Voting hours were extended multiple times to accommodate latecomers, with the final extension until midnight local time. Despite initial low turnout, the voter participation rate eventually exceeded the first round, reaching nearly 50% with over 29.3 million ballots cast. Preliminary results indicate that Pezeshkian is leading with approximately 16 million votes, compared to Jalili's 13 million. Pezeshkian's victory marks the first time a reformist has won the presidency since 2005. Official results are expected to be announced soon.
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Economic reforms • 25%
Social freedoms • 25%
Healthcare improvements • 25%
Foreign policy changes • 25%
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf • 25%
Ali Larijani • 25%
Eshaq Jahangiri • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Change in leadership • 25%
Major policy shift • 25%
Civil unrest • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Current regime remains in power • 25%
Regime change through internal uprising • 25%
Regime change through external intervention • 25%
Other • 25%
Economic reform • 25%
Social reform • 25%
Foreign policy shift • 25%
Other • 25%
More aggressive stance towards Israel • 25%
Strengthened alliances with regional militias • 25%
Increased diplomatic efforts with Western countries • 25%
Other • 25%
Supreme Leader replaced • 25%
President replaced • 25%
Both replaced • 25%
No change • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Mass release of political prisoners • 25%
Increased detentions • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Implementation of reforms • 25%