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What type of military response will Israel carry out against Iran by November 4, 2024?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Airstrikes • 25%
Ground invasion • 25%
Naval blockade • 25%
Cyber attack • 25%
Verified news reports from reputable sources such as Reuters, BBC, or The Wall Street Journal
Story
Iran Rejects Calls for Restraint, Threatens War with Israel: WSJ Report
Aug 4, 2024, 03:30 PM
Iran has rejected calls from the United States and Arab nations to moderate its response to the assassination of Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh in Tehran. In conversations held on Saturday, Iranian leaders informed Arab diplomats that they do not care if their retaliatory actions against Israel trigger a full-scale war. This stance significantly raises the stakes in the region, as tensions between Iran and Israel continue to escalate. The Wall Street Journal reported that Iran's firm position dismisses attempts by the U.S. and Arab nations to prevent a spiral of violence.
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Air strikes • 25%
Ground invasion • 25%
Cyber attack • 25%
No military action • 25%
Airstrikes • 25%
Ground invasion • 25%
Cyber attack • 25%
No military response • 25%
Special forces operation • 25%
No action • 25%
Airstrike • 25%
Cyberattack • 25%
Ground invasion • 25%
Other • 25%
Airstrikes on oil facilities • 25%
Airstrikes on nuclear sites • 25%
Targeted assassinations • 25%
Other • 25%
Air Strikes • 25%
Naval Blockade • 25%
Cyber Attack • 25%
No Military Action • 25%
Airstrike • 25%
Cyberattack • 25%
Combined air and ground operation • 25%
Other • 25%
Airstrike • 25%
Cyberattack • 25%
Diplomatic measures • 25%
Other • 25%
Airstrikes • 25%
Missile Attacks • 25%
Cyber Attacks • 25%
Other • 25%
Ballistic missiles • 25%
Drones • 25%
Cyber attack • 25%
Combination of methods • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Airstrikes • 25%
Ground invasion • 25%
Missile defense activation only • 25%
No immediate response • 25%