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What type of interactions will be confirmed between Musk and Iranian officials by end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Official meeting confirmed • 25%
Informal communication confirmed • 25%
No interactions confirmed • 25%
Other • 25%
Official records or credible media reports of meetings or communications
Story
Iran Categorically Denies New York Times Report of Elon Musk Meeting with UN Envoy
Nov 16, 2024, 10:21 AM
Iran's Foreign Ministry has categorically denied a report by The New York Times claiming that Elon Musk met with Iran's United Nations envoy in New York. Spokesperson Esmaeil Baghaei called the report 'fake news' and expressed surprise over what he described as 'extensive media fabrication.' State media outlet IRNA reported the denial on Saturday.
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Sanctions exemptions for Musk • 25%
New business ventures in Iran • 25%
Improved diplomatic relations • 25%
No significant outcome • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Significant improvement in relations • 25%
Minor improvement in relations • 25%
No change in relations • 25%
Deterioration in relations • 25%
Successful easing of tensions • 25%
No change in tensions • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Sanctions relief • 25%
Trade agreements • 25%
Military de-escalation • 25%
No significant diplomatic action • 25%
Formal diplomatic talks initiated • 25%
Economic agreements reached • 25%
No new initiatives • 25%
Other diplomatic actions • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Key mediator • 25%
Economic partner • 25%
No significant role • 25%
Other role • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other impacts • 25%