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What type of communication will be received from Yahya Sinwar by November 30, 2024?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Public Statement • 25%
Private Confirmation • 25%
No Communication • 25%
Other • 25%
Official statements from Hamas or credible news reports
Story
Israel Investigates Possible Death of Hamas Leader Yahya Sinwar, Mastermind of October 7 Attacks, in Gaza Airstrike
Sep 22, 2024, 08:46 PM
Israeli officials are investigating the possibility that Yahya Sinwar, the leader of Hamas and mastermind behind the October 7 attacks, was killed or injured in a recent airstrike on the Gaza Strip. Reports from various sources, including Kan News, indicate that there is currently no confirmed intelligence to support this claim. The Israeli defense establishment is divided on whether Sinwar has been eliminated or is simply out of contact. Some officials believe that the lack of communication from Sinwar suggests he may have been severely injured or killed, while others remain skeptical. The IDF has stated that they cannot confirm or deny Sinwar's death, and DNA tests on bodies brought back from Gaza have so far returned negative results. IDF spokesman Daniel Hagari reiterated that the IDF will continue to investigate.
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UN Condemns Israel • 25%
UN Condemns Hamas • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Mixed responses • 25%
Killed • 25%
Injured • 25%
Alive and uninjured • 25%
No official statement • 25%
Killed • 25%
Injured • 25%
Alive and uninjured • 25%
No confirmation • 25%
Confirmed Unharmed • 25%
Confirmed Dead • 25%
Confirmed Alive • 25%
Confirmed Injured • 25%
Status Unknown • 25%
Killed • 25%
Injured • 25%
Alive and uninjured • 25%
Status unknown • 25%
Sanctions against Hamas • 25%
Diplomatic condemnation • 25%
Military action • 25%
No significant reaction • 25%
Sinwar accepts and hostages released • 25%
Sinwar rejects proposal • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
Proposal withdrawn • 25%
