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Market
What strategy will Apple use to comply with the EU directive by March 19, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Open iOS to all third-party apps • 25%
Create a separate version of iOS for EU • 25%
Negotiate for an extension • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Official statement from Apple or EU, news reports
Story
EU Warns Apple to Open iPhone Operating System Within Six Months or Face Fines
Sep 19, 2024, 09:43 AM
Apple Inc. is set to receive a warning from the European Union to open up its highly guarded iPhone operating system to rival technologies. The EU's directive comes under the new Digital Markets Act (DMA), which mandates that operating systems must be fully functional with other technologies. If Apple fails to comply within six months, it risks facing a formal probe and significant fines of up to 10% of its global annual turnover. The EU's move aims to ensure interoperability and fair competition in the digital market.
View original story
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Software Updates • 25%
Third-Party Partnerships • 25%
Legal Challenges • 25%
Combination of Strategies • 25%
Full compliance • 25%
Partial compliance • 25%
Non-compliance with legal challenge • 25%
Non-compliance without legal challenge • 25%
Full compliance • 25%
Partial compliance • 25%
Non-compliance • 25%
Legal challenge • 25%
Allow third-party app stores • 25%
Allow sideloading of apps • 25%
Allow third-party payment systems • 25%
Other changes • 25%
Full Compliance • 25%
Partial Compliance • 25%
Non-Compliance • 25%
Legal Action Taken • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Full compliance • 25%
Partial compliance • 25%
No compliance • 25%
Legal challenge • 25%