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What regulatory change will occur in Russian oil industry by end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased financial disclosure • 25%
Decreased financial disclosure • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other regulatory change • 25%
Official Russian government publications, reputable news sources
Story
Russia's Oil Merger Could Exceed Exxon Mobil Output by Three Times, Targeting India and China Markets
Nov 11, 2024, 11:09 PM
Russia is contemplating a significant restructuring of its oil industry by merging its major oil companies into a single entity. This new mega-producer could potentially produce nearly three times the output of Exxon Mobil, the largest oil producer in the United States. Such a consolidation may enable Russia to command higher prices from customers in key markets like India and China. The initiative aligns with President Vladimir Putin's broader strategy to enhance Russia's influence over global energy markets. However, Rosneft, one of the country's leading oil firms, has denied reports suggesting that it plans to take over other Russian oil companies. Additionally, a recent decree signed by Putin allows five more companies to determine their own level of financial disclosure, further indicating a shift in the regulatory environment surrounding Russian corporations.
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Merger completed • 25%
Merger partially completed • 25%
Merger not completed • 25%
Merger officially abandoned • 25%
Complete withdrawal from Russia • 25%
Reduction in operations • 25%
No change • 25%
Expansion of operations • 25%
Fully Operational • 25%
Partially Operational • 25%
Non-operational • 25%
Rebuilt with Delays • 25%
Increased use of 'dark fleet' • 25%
New trade partners • 25%
Price adjustments • 25%
Other • 25%
Crude oil • 25%
Refined products • 25%
Natural gas • 25%
Other • 25%
Less than 10% • 25%
10% to 15% • 25%
15% to 20% • 25%
More than 20% • 25%
Increase • 25%
No Change • 25%
Decrease by less than 5% • 25%
Decrease by 5% or more • 25%
