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Market
What political consequences will the Brothers of Italy face due to Santanchè's trial by end of 2025?
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Italy•Daniela Santanchè•Visibilia•Milan•Santanchè•Giuseppe Zeno•Dimitri Kunz•Fiorella Garnero•Silvia Garnero•Canio Giovanni Mazzaro•Brothers of Italy•Giorgia Meloni
Resolution / Starting Odds
Santanchè resigns from party • 25%
Party leadership changes • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Other political consequence • 25%
Official statements from the Brothers of Italy party and news reports
Story
Italy's Tourism Minister Santanchè to Stand Trial on March 20 for Alleged False Accounting at Visibilia, 15 Others Indicted
Jan 17, 2025, 12:01 PM
Italy's Tourism Minister Daniela Santanchè has been ordered to stand trial for alleged false accounting related to her former company, Visibilia. The decision was made by a Milan judge, who set the trial to begin on March 20. Santanchè, who sold her stake in Visibilia when she became minister in 2022, faces charges of false corporate communications for the period between 2016 and 2022. The accusations stem from an investigation initiated by minority shareholders, including financier Giuseppe Zeno, who claim that the company's financial statements were manipulated to hide losses and avoid necessary recapitalization. Alongside Santanchè, 15 other individuals, including her partner Dimitri Kunz, her sister Fiorella Garnero, her niece Silvia Garnero, and her former partner Canio Giovanni Mazzaro, have been indicted. The case could have political repercussions, as Santanchè is a member of the right-wing Brothers of Italy party led by Premier Giorgia Meloni.
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Other • 25%
Not Guilty • 25%
Mistrial • 25%
Guilty • 25%
Major cabinet reshuffle • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Minor cabinet reshuffle • 25%
Government collapse • 25%
Removed from office • 25%
Remains in office • 25%
Resigns • 25%
Other • 25%
Remains Deputy PM • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Elected to a higher office • 25%
Resigns from position • 25%
M5S wins • 25%
Grillo wins • 25%
Settled out of court • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Policy reversal • 25%
New charges filed • 25%
No significant consequences • 25%
Other • 25%
No Significant Change • 25%
Improved Performance • 25%
Party Splits • 25%
Declined Performance • 25%
Neutral influence • 25%
Other • 25%
Strengthened EU relations • 25%
Increased EU skepticism • 25%