Loading...
Market
What percentage of voters will consider Kamala Harris 'mentally sharp' in the next major poll by Sept 30, 2024?
4
Resolution / Starting Odds
Less than 50% • 25%
50% to 55% • 25%
55% to 60% • 25%
More than 60% • 25%
Reuters/Ipsos or another reputable polling source
Story
Kamala Harris Leads Trump 44% to 42% in Latest Reuters/Ipsos Poll
Jul 23, 2024, 05:53 PM
Democratic Presidential Candidate Kamala Harris leads Republican Donald Trump in the latest Reuters/Ipsos poll. The poll shows Harris with 44% of the vote compared to Trump's 42%, within a 3-point margin of error. This poll, conducted among registered voters, also indicates that 56% consider Harris 'mentally sharp' compared to 49% for Trump. In a three-way race including Independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr., Harris leads with 42%, Trump follows with 38%, and Kennedy Jr. garners 8%. This is the first major poll since President Biden exited the race, and it reflects a 2% increase for Harris from the previous poll conducted before her entry into the race. Additionally, a HarrisX/Forbes poll shows Harris leading Trump by 9 points.
View original story
Similar markets
Less than 40% • 25%
40% to 50% • 25%
50% to 60% • 25%
More than 60% • 25%
Below 40% • 25%
40% - 45% • 25%
45% - 50% • 25%
Above 50% • 25%
Above 50% • 25%
40-50% • 25%
30-39% • 25%
Below 30% • 25%
Improves • 25%
Declines • 25%
Stays the same • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Increase by 5% or more • 25%
Increase by less than 5% • 25%
No change • 25%
Decrease • 25%
Leading by more than 10 points • 25%
Leading by 5 to 10 points • 25%
Leading by less than 5 points • 25%
Not leading • 25%
Improved • 25%
Worsened • 25%
Unchanged • 25%
No consensus • 25%
Less than 40% • 25%
40% - 49.99% • 25%
50% - 59.99% • 25%
60% or more • 25%
Less than 40% • 25%
40% - 50% • 25%
50% - 60% • 25%
More than 60% • 25%
Less than 45% • 25%
45% to 50% • 25%
50% to 55% • 25%
More than 55% • 25%
