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What percentage of U.S. COVID-19 cases will be driven by the KP.3.1.1 variant by October 31, 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Less than 30% • 25%
30% to 40% • 25%
40% to 50% • 25%
More than 50% • 25%
CDC variant tracking reports
Story
CDC Reports Surge in U.S. COVID-19 Cases Driven by Omicron Variants KP.3 and KP.3.1.1
Aug 19, 2024, 02:35 PM
The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) has reported a significant rise in COVID-19 cases across the United States, with more than half of the states experiencing very high levels of infection. The Omicron variants KP.3 and KP.3.1.1 are the primary drivers of this surge, accounting for approximately half of all cases. Specifically, the KP.3.1.1 variant is responsible for 36.8% of positive infections, while the KP.3 variant accounts for 16.8%. The CDC has emphasized the increasing activity of COVID-19 in many parts of the country.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
California • 25%
Texas • 25%
Florida • 25%
New York • 25%
Delta • 25%
Omicron • 25%
New variant • 25%
No predominant variant • 25%
Pfizer-BioNTech • 25%
Moderna • 25%
Novavax • 25%
Other • 25%
Delta • 25%
Omicron • 25%
New Variant • 25%
No dominant variant • 25%
Pfizer-BioNTech • 25%
Moderna • 25%
Novavax • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Very Effective (>90%) • 25%
Effective (70-90%) • 25%
Moderately Effective (50-70%) • 25%
Ineffective (<50%) • 25%