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Market
What method will be used to return Starliner crew to Earth by October 31, 2024?
2
NASA•Boeing Starliner•Earth•SpaceX•Dragon•Starliner•Suni•Butch•International Space Station•ISS•Boeing•Ars Technica
Resolution / Starting Odds
SpaceX Dragon • 33%
Starliner • 33%
Other • 34%
Official NASA reports or credible news sources
Story
NASA May Use SpaceX Dragon to Return Starliner Crew, Suni and Butch
Aug 1, 2024, 11:04 PM
NASA is considering bringing the crew of the Boeing Starliner back to Earth using SpaceX's Dragon capsule due to issues with the Starliner. The astronauts, Suni and Butch, currently on the International Space Station (ISS), may return on the Dragon capsule as there is now a greater than 50% chance of this happening. NASA and Boeing are evaluating all options, but a final decision has not been made. The possibility of using the Dragon capsule has been suggested by multiple sources, including Ars Technica. The situation has led to speculation about the future viability of the Starliner program.
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Similar markets
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Communication failure • 25%
Structural damage • 25%
Landing system malfunction • 25%
No issue • 25%
Next crewed mission scheduled • 25%
Next uncrewed mission scheduled • 25%
No further missions scheduled • 25%
Starliner program suspended • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Communication issue • 25%
Navigation issue • 25%
Thermal protection issue • 25%
No significant issues • 25%
SpaceX Dragon • 33%
Boeing Starliner • 33%
Other • 34%