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What major legislative action will be taken on cryptocurrency regulation by the end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Transfer to CFTC • 25%
New SEC guidelines • 25%
Bipartisan bill • 25%
No major action • 25%
Legislation passed by the U.S. Congress
Story
Trump Team Considers Pro-Crypto Paul Atkins for SEC Chair, Weighs CFTC Oversight for Crypto
Nov 27, 2024, 05:49 PM
President-elect Donald Trump’s transition team is reportedly considering Paul Atkins, a former SEC commissioner, as a leading candidate to replace Gary Gensler as SEC Chair. Atkins, known for his pro-crypto stance and advocacy for innovation in financial technology, has been interviewed for the role. He has a background in blockchain and cryptocurrency, including co-chairing the Token Alliance. Sources suggest Atkins has a 60% chance of being appointed, according to Kalshi. His potential appointment signals a possible shift in the SEC’s regulatory approach towards a more crypto-friendly direction, which could ease regulatory pressures on digital assets and fintech companies. Additionally, the Trump administration is considering transferring cryptocurrency oversight to the CFTC.
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Tax exemption for crypto • 25%
Stricter regulations • 25%
Introduction of a digital dollar • 25%
Other • 25%
Favorable to crypto • 25%
Unfavorable to crypto • 25%
Neutral impact • 25%
No change • 25%
Passed • 25%
Failed • 25%
Postponed • 25%
Withdrawn • 25%
Pro-Bitcoin policies • 25%
Stricter regulations • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other • 25%
Increased regulation • 25%
Decreased regulation • 25%
No change • 25%
Complete ban • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Introduction of new regulations • 25%
Relaxation of existing regulations • 25%
Increased enforcement actions • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
House Financial Services Committee • 33%
Senate Banking Committee • 33%
Joint Effort • 34%
CFTC leads • 25%
SEC leads • 25%
Joint leadership • 25%
No change • 25%
Introduction of new regulations • 25%
Repeal of existing regulations • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Other • 25%