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What changes in Israeli domestic policy will occur following the attack by December 31, 2024?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Stricter security laws • 25%
Increased military presence in cities • 25%
New peace negotiations • 25%
Other • 25%
Official statements from the Israeli government and reports by major news outlets like BBC, Reuters, or The New York Times
Story
Hamas Claims Responsibility for Deadly Shooting in Tel Aviv and Jaffa, Seven Dead
Oct 2, 2024, 04:22 PM
Hamas' armed wing, the Ezzedine al-Qassam Brigades, has claimed responsibility for a deadly shooting attack in Israel's Tel Aviv and Jaffa. The attack, carried out by Mohammad Mesek and Ahmed Himouni from Hebron, resulted in seven deaths and 16 injuries. The assailants reportedly stabbed a soldier, took their weapon, and used it in the attack. The incident has been confirmed by multiple sources and statements from the terror group Hamas.
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Increased military spending • 25%
Increased energy diversification efforts • 25%
New alliances or partnerships • 25%
No significant policy changes • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
New Prime Minister • 25%
Change in military policy • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Other significant political change • 25%
Increase in military readiness • 25%
Decrease in military readiness • 25%
Diplomatic engagement with Iran • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Increased military spending • 25%
Upgraded missile defense systems • 25%
No significant policy change • 25%
New alliances formed • 25%
Stricter policies implemented • 25%
No change in policy • 25%
More lenient policies • 25%
Policy under review • 25%
Leadership change in Israeli government • 25%
Policy reversal without leadership change • 25%
Continuation of current leadership and policy • 25%
Other significant political change • 25%
Policy reversal • 25%
Policy expansion • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other significant policy change • 25%
Increased personal security • 25%
Strengthened air defense systems • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Other security measures • 25%
Netanyahu remains Prime Minister • 25%
Netanyahu steps down • 25%
New elections called • 25%
New coalition government forms • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Increased sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic resolutions • 25%
No significant policy changes • 25%
Other diplomatic actions • 25%