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What approach will Trump take to end the Ukraine conflict by September 30, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Military intervention • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Other • 25%
Statements from Trump administration or international diplomatic reports
Story
Trump Criticizes Biden's Decision on Ukraine Missile Strikes, Hints at Policy Reversal
Dec 16, 2024, 05:45 PM
U.S. President-elect Donald Trump has criticized President Joe Biden's decision to allow Ukraine to conduct long-range missile strikes into Russian territory, calling it a 'big mistake' and hinting at possibly reversing this policy. Trump expressed frustration over the lack of consultation before the decision was made, stating that it was 'stupid' to permit such actions just weeks before his inauguration. He mentioned that his administration is working on ending the conflict in Ukraine, with some progress being made, though he did not provide details. Trump also suggested that he might reconsider the authorization of long-range strikes after taking office, emphasizing his disagreement with the current policy.
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Similar markets
Economic sanctions on Russia • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Non-intervention • 25%
Military support to Ukraine • 25%
Military aid reduction to Ukraine • 25%
Other strategies • 25%
Economic sanctions on Russia • 25%
Increased diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Mixed approach • 25%
Diplomatic focus • 25%
Decreased military support • 25%
Increased military support • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Other diplomatic resolution • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Full peace treaty • 25%
Military Intervention • 25%
Economic Sanctions • 25%
Other • 25%
Diplomatic Negotiations • 25%
Peace treaty signed • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Military support to Ukraine • 25%
Increased sanctions on Russia • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
