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What actions will the U.S. take in response to a potential Iranian attack on Israel by September 30, 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Military Support • 25%
Diplomatic Measures • 25%
Sanctions • 25%
Other • 25%
Official statements from the U.S. government or verified reports from major news outlets
Story
Israeli Intel Warns of Imminent Iranian Attack Over Haniyeh Assassination
Aug 11, 2024, 09:13 PM
Israeli intelligence has assessed that Iran is preparing to launch a direct attack on Israel in retaliation for the assassination of Hamas political leader Ismail Haniyeh. The attack is expected to occur within days, potentially before ceasefire negotiations and the August 15 hostage deal talks. Israeli Defense Minister Yoav Gallant communicated these developments to U.S. Secretary of Defense Lloyd Austin, highlighting increased military preparations observed in Iran. These assessments have been reported by Axios, citing multiple sources.
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Military Response • 25%
Diplomatic Measures • 25%
Economic Sanctions • 25%
No Action • 25%
Impose new economic sanctions • 25%
Conduct a military strike • 25%
Diplomatic actions (e.g., expulsion of diplomats) • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Military intervention • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Military support • 25%
Diplomatic support • 25%
No response • 25%
Condemnation • 25%
Increase military aid to Israel • 25%
Impose diplomatic pressure on Israel • 25%
Engage in multilateral talks • 25%
No significant change • 25%
New Sanctions • 25%
Military Action • 25%
Diplomatic Measures • 25%
No Action • 25%
Diplomatic condemnation only • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Military support to Israel • 25%
Other actions • 25%
Economic Sanctions • 25%
Military Action • 25%
Diplomatic Measures • 25%
No Significant Action • 25%
Missile Attack • 25%
Drone Strike • 25%
Cyber Attack • 25%
None • 25%
Airstrike • 25%
Missile attack • 25%
Ground incursion • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Military action • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Other • 25%