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What actions will Russia take in response to U.S. and Hong Kong measures by June 30, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Retaliatory sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Other • 25%
Official statements from the Russian government or credible news sources
Story
U.S. Treasury Warns Hong Kong Banks Against Transactions with Russia Amid Sanctions on 9 Individuals and 7 Entities
Dec 26, 2024, 01:33 AM
A senior U.S. Treasury official recently met with representatives from major banks in Hong Kong, warning them against any financial transactions with Russia, which is perceived as a final ultimatum from the U.S. to Hong Kong. This warning follows the U.S. Treasury's recent sanctions imposed on nine individuals and seven entities, including North Korean banks and Russian companies that facilitated the shipment of oil and gas to North Korea from 2022 to at least April 2024. In a related development, South Korea has imposed sanctions on 15 North Korean IT workers and one entity for illicit funding related to nuclear and missile development activities.
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Similar markets
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Sanctions on U.S. media • 25%
Expulsion of diplomats • 25%
Cyber retaliation • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Missile strikes on Ukrainian cities • 25%
Cyber attacks on Ukrainian infrastructure • 25%
Increased ground military operations • 25%
Diplomatic or economic sanctions • 25%
Retaliatory sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
UK • 25%
Austria • 25%
Spain • 25%
None of the above • 25%
New sanctions imposed • 25%
UN resolution passed • 25%
Military aid to Ukraine increased • 25%
No major actions taken • 25%
Expulsion of diplomats • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Military actions or threats • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Increased sanctions on Russia • 25%
Diplomatic condemnation • 25%
Military support to Ukraine • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Economic Sanctions • 33%
Asset Seizures • 33%
Diplomatic Expulsions • 33%
Increased military strikes on Ukraine • 25%
Diplomatic actions • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
No significant actions • 25%
