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What actions will Israel take against Hezbollah by January 2025 under the proposed agreement?
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Israel•United States•Lebanon•Channel 12 Israel•Hezbollah•Amos Hochstein•Brett McGurk•CIA•William Burns•Egypt•Lebanese•Litani River
Resolution / Starting Odds
Airstrikes only • 25%
Naval actions only • 25%
Specific ground operations only • 25%
Combination of all actions • 25%
Reports from international news agencies or official government statements
Story
Israel and U.S. Reportedly Negotiate 60-Day Lebanon Ceasefire; CIA Director Burns to Discuss Limiting Hezbollah Under UNSC Resolution 1701
Oct 30, 2024, 05:48 AM
Israel and the United States are reportedly discussing a potential agreement regarding Lebanon, which may include a 60-day ceasefire. According to reports from Channel 12 Israel, Israel has proposed not expanding its ground operations in Lebanon in exchange for U.S. support for a targeted land, sea, and air blockade that would prevent Hezbollah from rebuilding its capabilities. The agreement would allow Israel to conduct airstrikes, naval actions, and specific ground operations aimed at Hezbollah. U.S. envoys Amos Hochstein and Brett McGurk, along with CIA Director William Burns, are expected to visit Israel and Egypt to discuss the deal, following their meetings with Lebanese officials. The proposed agreement may involve implementing a more robust version of UN Security Council Resolution 1701, requiring Hezbollah fighters to withdraw north of the Litani River. Israel's security cabinet is reportedly discussing the terms of the truce.
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Israeli forces withdraw after dismantling • 25%
Israeli forces remain beyond planned period • 25%
Israeli forces withdraw without dismantling • 25%
Israeli forces increase presence • 25%
Airstrikes • 25%
Ground Invasion • 25%
Cyber Attacks • 25%
No Major Action • 25%
Airstrike on Hezbollah positions • 25%
Naval blockade • 25%
Ground incursion • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Air Strikes • 25%
Ground Invasion • 25%
Naval Blockade • 25%
No Military Action • 25%
Retaliatory attacks on Israel • 25%
Diplomatic condemnation only • 25%
Increased arms smuggling efforts • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Launch more missile attacks • 25%
Increase ground operations near the border • 25%
Seek a ceasefire agreement • 25%
No significant action taken • 25%
Another missile launch • 25%
Ground attack • 25%
Cyber attack • 25%
No further action • 25%
Missile attacks • 25%
Border skirmishes • 25%
Terrorist attacks • 25%
Other • 25%
Missile attack • 25%
Drone attack • 25%
Ground incursion • 25%
Other • 25%
Hezbollah increases border patrols • 25%
Hezbollah launches retaliatory attacks • 25%
Hezbollah engages in peace talks • 25%
No significant actions taken • 25%
