Loading...
Market
What action will the U.S. take if Mexico fails Minute 331 obligations by end of 2025?
2
Mexico•United States•Minute 331•Rio Grande•Rio Bravo•South Texas•Amistad•Falcon•Mexican•Ciudad Juárez
Resolution / Starting Odds
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Legal action • 25%
No action • 25%
Official U.S. government statements or actions reported by reputable news sources
Story
US, Mexico Agree on Rio Grande Water Amid Drought, Shortages
Nov 9, 2024, 08:48 PM
Mexico and the United States have reached an agreement, known as Minute 331, to manage water deliveries from the Rio Grande amid drought and shortages. This agreement aims to address Mexico's history of falling behind on water-sharing payments in the Rio Bravo watershed, also known as the Rio Grande. The treaty specifies which tributaries Mexico can use to deliver water, which is then stored by the U.S. in its South Texas reservoirs, Amistad and Falcon. The U.S. Government has welcomed this step as it facilitates more regular Mexican water deliveries. The agreement was signed in Ciudad Juárez by authorities from both countries, highlighting the urgency due to the unacceptable status quo. However, at least one South Texas leader has balked at Mexico's unique offer to repay a portion of the water it owes the United States.
View original story
Similar markets
Positive Engagement • 25%
Neutral Stance • 25%
Negative Response • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Agreement reached • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Escalation of tensions • 25%
Other • 25%
Stricter border enforcement • 25%
Enhanced cooperation with U.S. • 25%
Increased domestic drug enforcement • 25%
No significant policy change • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Introduce retaliatory tariffs • 25%
Seek diplomatic negotiations • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Other • 25%
Mexico imposes retaliatory tariffs • 25%
Mexico seeks renegotiation of trade terms • 25%
Mexico takes no immediate action • 25%
Mexico files a complaint with the WTO • 25%
Mexico complies with demands • 25%
Mexico negotiates alternative solution • 25%
Mexico retaliates with own tariffs • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Retaliatory tariffs • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Other • 25%
Tariffs implemented • 25%
Tariffs avoided • 25%
Partial tariffs • 25%
Trade agreement revised • 25%