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Market
Vulcan rocket experiences major anomaly in next launch by end of 2024?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Launch reports and statements from United Launch Alliance or aerospace news coverage
Story
ULA Successfully Launches Vulcan Rocket on Cert-2 Mission from SLC-41 at 7:25 a.m. EDT
Oct 4, 2024, 10:30 AM
United Launch Alliance (ULA) successfully launched its Vulcan rocket on the Cert-2 mission from Space Launch Complex 41 (SLC-41) at Cape Canaveral Space Force Station. The launch occurred at 7:25 a.m. EDT (1125 UTC) after a brief delay from the initially scheduled time. This mission marks the second certification flight for the Vulcan Centaur rocket, which is required for the vehicle to fly critical national security missions. The Cert-2 mission included an inert payload and demonstrations related to future Centaur V technologies. The rocket's first stage, powered by BE-4 engines, performed nominally, and the Centaur upper stage, equipped with RL-10 engines, successfully reached orbit, simulating payload separation. This mission is a significant step in certifying the Vulcan rocket for future operations.
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Similar markets
Falcon 9 • 25%
Starship • 25%
Falcon Heavy • 25%
None • 25%
Booster recovery anomaly • 25%
Launch delay • 25%
Payload issue • 25%
Other • 25%
Before September 30, 2024 • 25%
Between October 1, 2024 and November 30, 2024 • 25%
In December 2024 • 25%
No major anomaly in 2024 • 25%
Software-related issue • 25%
Hardware-related issue • 25%
Environmental or operational issue • 25%
Other • 25%
Successful orbit insertion • 25%
Partial success (e.g., suborbital flight) • 25%
Failure (e.g., explosion or termination) • 25%
Launch postponed beyond 2025 • 25%
