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U.S. policy change towards Chinese military-designated companies by end of 2025
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Policy becomes stricter • 25%
Policy stays the same • 25%
Policy becomes more lenient • 25%
Policy is revoked • 25%
U.S. government policy announcements or legislative changes
Story
U.S. Labels Tencent and CATL as Chinese Military Companies on January 10, 2025; Tencent Threatens Legal Action
Jan 11, 2025, 05:24 PM
The U.S. Department of Defense has designated Tencent, the world's largest gaming publisher, and CATL, a major battery supplier for Tesla, as Chinese military companies. This classification has raised concerns and prompted Tencent to assert that it is not affiliated with the Chinese military. The company has indicated a willingness to pursue legal action against the U.S. government to contest its inclusion on the blacklist. The implications of this designation are significant for both companies, as they navigate the complexities of U.S.-China relations and the impact on their business operations.
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Cooperation agreements • 25%
Trade restrictions • 25%
Sanctions • 25%
Other • 25%
Partial delisting of companies • 25%
Complete delisting of companies • 25%
Further restrictions imposed • 25%
No change in status • 25%
Ongoing negotiations • 25%
Designation upheld • 25%
No official outcome • 25%
Designation removed • 25%
Lockheed Martin • 25%
Northrop Grumman • 25%
Boeing Defense • 25%
Other • 25%
No • 50%
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