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U.S. designation of Sinaloa cartel as terrorist organization by end of 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official U.S. government announcements or publications, such as the Department of State or Department of Justice
Story
Trump's Border Czar Homan Vows to Wipe Mexican Cartels Off the Face of the Earth
Nov 15, 2024, 02:33 PM
Donald Trump's border czar, Tom Homan, has issued a stark warning to Mexican cartels, comparing them to a Fortune 500 company due to their extensive reach. Homan stated that the Sinaloa cartel operates in over 40 countries globally and in every major city in the United States. President Trump plans to designate these cartels as terrorist organizations and treat them similarly to how ISIS was handled. Homan emphasized, 'The cartels are like a Fortune 500 company.' This approach will involve U.S. special operations and intelligence to track and dismantle the cartels, aiming to 'wipe them off the face of the Earth.'
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By March 31, 2025 • 25%
By June 30, 2025 • 25%
By December 31, 2025 • 25%
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Mexico • 25%
Canada • 25%
European Union • 25%
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Significant reduction in operations • 25%
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New diplomatic agreement • 25%
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