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Market
UBS's response to new Swiss regulations by mid-2025
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Increase in capital only • 33%
Restructuring of operations • 33%
Both increase in capital and restructuring • 33%
Public announcements or press releases from UBS
Story
UBS May Need Up to $25 Billion Extra Capital, Growth May Slow: Swiss Finance Minister
Apr 16, 2024, 06:21 AM
UBS may need to secure an additional $10 billion to $25 billion in capital to comply with new Swiss regulations, according to various analysts and statements from Swiss Finance Minister Karin Keller-Sutter. These changes are part of a broader reform effort following the collapse of Credit Suisse, aiming to strengthen the financial system by enhancing the regulatory framework. The finance minister noted that the new capital requirements would likely slow UBS's growth. However, analyst Liam Proud mentioned there's no indication that the finance minister would be more inclined to wind down a failing lender in the future.
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Increase in capital reserves • 25%
Restructuring of assets • 25%
Reduction in risky investments • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Stock price increases by 5% or more • 25%
Stock price increases less than 5% • 25%
Stock price decreases • 25%
Stock price remains stable (+/- 1%) • 25%
Improve • 33%
Remain the same • 34%
Worsen • 33%
Credit Suisse stock rises significantly • 25%
Credit Suisse stock falls significantly • 25%
UBS stock rises significantly • 25%
UBS stock falls significantly • 25%
Increase in capital reserves • 25%
Re-structuring of assets • 25%
Lobbying against the requirements • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
