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Market
Type of punishment for actor if convicted by end of 2025
4
Resolution / Starting Odds
Prison Sentence • 50%
Probation • 50%
Court sentencing records or major news outlets
Story
Hollywood Actor Raises $690 Million by Deceiving Investors, FBI Involved
May 27, 2024, 04:12 PM
An aspiring D-list actor in Hollywood managed to raise $690 million by deceiving hundreds of investors, starting with his closest friends. This elaborate scheme, which has been described as a tale of fake-it-till-you-make-it gone bananas, eventually caught the attention of the FBI. The actor's actions have been characterized as those of a financial sociopath, highlighting the recurring phenomenon of con men who manage to deceive people repeatedly. The story was reported by the New Yorker.
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Similar markets
Prison Sentence • 33%
Probation • 33%
Fine • 34%
Prison time • 33%
Probation • 33%
Fine only • 33%
No charges filed • 25%
Charges filed but no conviction • 25%
Conviction with less than 5 years in prison • 25%
Conviction with 5 or more years in prison • 25%
Prison Sentence • 33%
Probation • 33%
Fines Only • 33%
Continue in theater • 33%
Shift to another form of art • 33%
Retire from artistic activities • 34%
Probation only • 33%
Less than 5 years prison • 33%
5 years or more prison • 34%
Probation • 25%
Prison Time • 25%
House Arrest • 25%
Community Service • 25%
Community service • 33%
Fine • 33%
Imprisonment • 33%