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Market
Turkey-backed forces conduct major military operation in Manbij by June 30, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official military announcements, reputable news sources
Story
Car Bomb in Turkey-Controlled Manbij, Syria, Causes Casualties; PKK/YPG Cells Suspected
Dec 24, 2024, 12:49 PM
A car bomb exploded in the center of Manbij city, located in the eastern countryside of Aleppo, Syria. The explosion occurred on Al-Tajneed Street, resulting in multiple casualties among civilians. The Syrian Civil Defense teams responded to the scene. Initial reports indicate several deaths and injuries, though no group has yet claimed responsibility for the attack. The city of Manbij is currently under the control of the Turkey-backed Syrian National Army, with reports suggesting that PKK/YPG cells may be active in the area.
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Similar markets
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Military operation against PKK • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Increased support to local factions • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Increased military operations • 25%
Diplomatic measures • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Other • 25%
Under full SNA control • 25%
Under partial SNA control • 25%
Under PKK/YPG control • 25%
Disputed • 25%
