Loading...
Market
Total clade I mpox cases in the US by end of 2024?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
0-5 • 25%
6-10 • 25%
11-20 • 25%
21 or more • 25%
CDC and public health department reports
Story
First U.S. Case of Severe Clade I Mpox Reported in San Mateo County, California
Nov 16, 2024, 08:54 PM
U.S. health officials have confirmed the first known case of clade I mpox in the United States in San Mateo County, California. The case was identified in a traveler who recently returned from Eastern Africa. Clade I mpox, historically seen in the Democratic Republic of Congo, is considered more severe than the clade II strain that caused the global outbreak starting in 2022. The patient is currently isolated at home with mild symptoms that are improving, and public health authorities state that the risk to the public is low with no evidence of local transmission. The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) is conducting further testing to confirm the case and is assisting state and local partners in monitoring the situation.
View original story
Similar markets
1 case • 25%
2-5 cases • 25%
6-10 cases • 25%
More than 10 cases • 25%
0-5 cases • 25%
6-10 cases • 25%
11-20 cases • 25%
More than 20 cases • 25%
0-10 cases • 25%
11-50 cases • 25%
51-100 cases • 25%
More than 100 cases • 25%
Less than 5,000 • 25%
5,000 to 10,000 • 25%
10,001 to 20,000 • 25%
More than 20,000 • 25%
1-10 • 25%
11-50 • 25%
51-100 • 25%
More than 100 • 25%
0 states • 25%
1-2 states • 25%
3-5 states • 25%
More than 5 states • 25%
1-5 • 25%
6-10 • 25%
11-20 • 25%
More than 20 • 25%
Less than 500 • 25%
500 to 1,000 • 25%
1,001 to 2,000 • 25%
More than 2,000 • 25%
1-10 countries • 25%
11-20 countries • 25%
21-30 countries • 25%
Over 30 countries • 25%