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Market
Timing of next major conflict within NSW Coalition in 2024
3
New South Wales•NSW•Nationals•Wes Fang•Liberal•Daily Telegraph•Liberals•Matt Canavan•Dugald Saunders•Dom Perrottet
Resolution / Starting Odds
Before September 30, 2024 • 33%
Between October 1, 2024 and December 31, 2024 • 33%
No major conflict in 2024 • 34%
Credible news outlets and official statements from the NSW Coalition parties
Story
Last-Minute Deal Saves NSW Coalition from Collapse Amid Dispute
Jul 1, 2024, 11:30 PM
The New South Wales (NSW) Liberal-National coalition faced a potential collapse after a public dispute over the removal of a shadow assistant minister. The conflict intensified when the Nationals leader backed Wes Fang, leading Liberal MPs to consider ending the coalition, as reported by the Daily Telegraph. Senior Liberals urged the opposition leader to avoid splitting the coalition. Nationals Senator Matt Canavan expressed hope that the parties would not split. Ultimately, a last-minute deal was brokered by Nationals leader Dugald Saunders and former Liberal Premier Dom Perrottet, preventing the split and keeping the coalition intact.
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