Loading...
Market
Thune's influence on Hegseth's confirmation by January 31, 2025
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Decisive Influence • 25%
Moderate Influence • 25%
Minimal Influence • 25%
No Influence • 25%
Official Senate voting records and credible news reports
Story
Senate Majority Leader Thune Tells President-elect Trump Hegseth Has Votes for Defense Secretary Confirmation on Jan. 14
Jan 5, 2025, 08:33 PM
Senate Majority Leader John Thune has privately informed President-elect Donald Trump that he believes Pete Hegseth will have the votes necessary to be confirmed as Secretary of Defense, according to three sources. This communication suggests a level of confidence in Hegseth's confirmation process, despite previous controversies surrounding the nominee, including allegations of sexual misconduct and questions about his management of a veterans' organization. Hegseth's confirmation hearing is scheduled for January 14, as announced by Senate Armed Services Chairman Roger Wicker.
View original story
Similar markets
Undecided • 25%
Abstain • 25%
Oppose • 25%
Support • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Confirmed with all GOP votes • 25%
Confirmed with some GOP votes • 25%
Not confirmed • 25%
Reject • 25%
Postpone • 25%
Confirm • 25%
Withdraw • 25%
Vote delayed • 25%
Confirmed with majority support • 25%
Confirmed with Vice President's tie-breaking vote • 25%
Not confirmed • 25%
Confirmation vote delayed • 25%
Confirmed with bipartisan support • 25%
Confirmed with majority Republican support • 25%
11-15 Senators • 25%
6-10 Senators • 25%
0-5 Senators • 25%
16 or more Senators • 25%
Vote not held • 25%
50 or more votes in favor • 25%
Less than 50 votes in favor • 25%
Vote postponed • 25%
Confirmed with majority • 25%
Tie requiring Vice President's vote • 25%
Rejected with majority • 25%
Withdrawn before vote • 25%
Nomination Withdrawn • 25%
Vote Postponed • 25%
Withdrawn • 25%
Confirmed • 25%
Withdrawn before vote • 25%
Rejected • 25%
Confirmed with majority • 25%
Vote delayed • 25%
Confirmed • 33%
Rejected • 33%
Withdrawn • 34%
Less than 6 • 25%
More than 15 • 25%
11 to 15 • 25%
6 to 10 • 25%
50-74% support • 25%
Over 90% support • 25%
Less than 50% support • 25%
75-90% support • 25%
Vote Delayed • 25%
Rejected • 33%
Nomination Withdrawn • 25%
Withdrawn • 34%
Confirmed • 33%