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Successful Turkish operation against PKK leader in Iraq by June 30, 2025?
2
Turkish National Intelligence Organization•MIT•Iraq•Gare•Nusrettin Demir•Kurtay Batman•Demir•PKK•Turkey
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcements from the Turkish National Intelligence Organization or credible news agencies
Story
Turkish Intelligence Neutralizes PKK Leader Nusrettin Demir in Gare Region
Dec 31, 2024, 06:53 AM
The Turkish National Intelligence Organization (MIT) has conducted a pinpoint operation in Iraq's Gare region, neutralizing Nusrettin Demir, also known by the alias Kurtay Batman, a high-ranking figure of the PKK/KCK terrorist organization. The operation, carried out by MIT's field agents, targeted Demir, who was reportedly acting under orders from the PKK leadership. This marks a continuation of Turkey's efforts to combat terrorism beyond its borders.
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Similar markets
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Minimal impact • 25%
Increased PKK activity • 25%
Complete elimination • 25%
Significant reduction • 25%
Significant reduction in PKK/YPG activity • 25%
No significant change in PKK/YPG activity • 25%
Increase in PKK/YPG activity • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Sinjar region • 25%
Zap region • 25%
Qandil Mountains • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No operation conducted • 25%
Operation fails • 25%
Successful operation • 25%
Operation postponed • 25%
