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US and France Propose 21-Day Ceasefire Between Israel and Hezbollah in Lebanon at UN

Sep 25, 2024, 10:42 PM

The United States and France are collaborating on a diplomatic initiative aimed at halting hostilities between Israel and Hezbollah in Lebanon. French Foreign Minister Jean-Noel Barrot announced at a UN Security Council meeting that the proposal includes a 21-day temporary ceasefire to allow for negotiations. The initiative, confirmed by the Cyprus President and reported by Reuters, seeks to create a window for diplomatic discussions to potentially resolve the ongoing conflict.

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Will hostilities resume between Israel and Hezbollah during the proposed 21-day ceasefire by November 5, 2024?

United States•France•Israel•Hezbollah•Lebanon•French•UN Security Council•Cyprus•Reuters

Resolution / Starting Odds

No • 50%

Yes • 50%

Reports from reputable news agencies confirming any hostilities

Will the 21-day ceasefire lead to formal peace negotiations between Israel and Hezbollah by December 31, 2024?

United States•France•Israel•Hezbollah•Lebanon•French•UN Security Council•Cyprus•Reuters

Resolution / Starting Odds

Yes • 50%

No • 50%

Official announcements from the United Nations, Israel, and Hezbollah reported by reputable news agencies

Will the 21-day ceasefire proposal between Israel and Hezbollah be accepted by October 15, 2024?

United States•France•Israel•Hezbollah•Lebanon•French•UN Security Council•Cyprus•Reuters

Resolution / Starting Odds

Yes • 50%

No • 50%

Official statements from the United Nations, Israel, and Hezbollah reported by reputable news agencies

What will be the outcome of the 21-day ceasefire proposal between Israel and Hezbollah by October 15, 2024?

United States•France•Israel•Hezbollah•Lebanon•French•UN Security Council•Cyprus•Reuters

Resolution / Starting Odds

Accepted by both parties • 33%

Accepted by one party • 33%

Rejected by both parties • 33%

Official statements from the United Nations, Israel, and Hezbollah reported by reputable news agencies

Where will the primary location for the ceasefire negotiations between Israel and Hezbollah be by October 31, 2024?

United States•France•Israel•Hezbollah•Lebanon•French•UN Security Council•Cyprus•Reuters

Resolution / Starting Odds

Other • 25%

United Nations Headquarters • 25%

Geneva • 25%

Paris • 25%

Official announcements from the United Nations and other involved parties reported by reputable news agencies

Who will be the primary mediator in the ceasefire negotiations between Israel and Hezbollah by October 31, 2024?

United States•France•Israel•Hezbollah•Lebanon•French•UN Security Council•Cyprus•Reuters

Resolution / Starting Odds

France • 25%

Other • 25%

United Nations • 25%

United States • 25%

Official announcements from the United Nations and other involved parties reported by reputable news agencies