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Will Russia retaliate with a significant military action in Ukraine by the end of October 2024?

Ukraine•Russia•Marinovka•Volgograd•Russian

Resolution / Starting Odds

No • 50%

Yes • 50%

Verified news reports from reputable sources like BBC, Reuters, or official statements from the Ukrainian or Russian governments

Will the Marinovka airfield be operational by the end of September 2024?

Ukraine•Russia•Marinovka•Volgograd•Russian

Resolution / Starting Odds

Yes • 50%

No • 50%

Verified news reports from reputable sources like BBC, Reuters, or official statements from the Russian government

Will Ukraine launch another significant drone attack on a Russian military airfield by the end of 2024?

Ukraine•Russia•Marinovka•Volgograd•Russian

Resolution / Starting Odds

No • 50%

Yes • 50%

Verified news reports from reputable sources like BBC, Reuters, or official statements from the Ukrainian or Russian governments

How many significant drone attacks will Ukraine launch on Russian military targets by the end of 2024?

Ukraine•Russia•Marinovka•Volgograd•Russian

Resolution / Starting Odds

1-2 • 25%

More than 6 • 25%

5-6 • 25%

3-4 • 25%

Verified news reports from reputable sources like BBC, Reuters, or official statements from the Ukrainian or Russian governments

What type of significant damage will be reported at the Marinovka airfield by the end of 2024?

Ukraine•Russia•Marinovka•Volgograd•Russian

Resolution / Starting Odds

Glide bombs storage sites • 25%

Other • 25%

Fuel storage sites • 25%

Su-24MR reconnaissance aircraft • 25%

Verified news reports from reputable sources like BBC, Reuters, or official statements from the Russian government

What will be the primary response of Russia to the drone attack on Marinovka airfield by the end of 2024?

Ukraine•Russia•Marinovka•Volgograd•Russian

Resolution / Starting Odds

Other • 25%

Increased air defense • 25%

Retaliatory attack on Ukraine • 25%

Diplomatic measures • 25%

Verified news reports from reputable sources like BBC, Reuters, or official statements from the Russian government