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U.S., Israel, Palestinian Authority Hold Secret Talks on Rafah Crossing as Part of Hostage, Ceasefire Deal

Jul 17, 2024, 07:05 PM

The U.S., Israel, and the Palestinian Authority held secret talks last week to discuss the reopening of the Rafah crossing between Egypt and Gaza. This was the first time since October 7 that officials from these entities met together to discuss post-war plans for Gaza. The discussions are part of a broader hostage and ceasefire deal. U.S. officials believe reopening the Rafah crossing could be a significant step towards stabilizing the region.

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Will hostages be released as part of the ceasefire deal by December 31, 2024?

Israel•Palestinian Authority•Rafah•Egypt•Gaza

Resolution / Starting Odds

No • 50%

Yes • 50%

Official announcements from the U.S. State Department, Israeli government, and Palestinian Authority

Will Israel and the Palestinian Authority reach a formal ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2024?

Israel•Palestinian Authority•Rafah•Egypt•Gaza

Resolution / Starting Odds

Yes • 50%

No • 50%

Official announcements from the U.S. State Department, Israeli government, and Palestinian Authority

Will the Rafah crossing between Egypt and Gaza be reopened by December 31, 2024?

Israel•Palestinian Authority•Rafah•Egypt•Gaza

Resolution / Starting Odds

No • 50%

Yes • 50%

Official announcements from the U.S. State Department, Israeli government, and Palestinian Authority

What will be the outcome of the secret talks regarding the Rafah crossing by December 31, 2024?

Israel•Palestinian Authority•Rafah•Egypt•Gaza

Resolution / Starting Odds

Reopening agreed • 25%

Talks ongoing • 25%

No agreement reached • 25%

Partial reopening agreed • 25%

Official announcements from the U.S. State Department, Israeli government, and Palestinian Authority

Which entity will be primarily responsible for the reopening of the Rafah crossing by December 31, 2024?

Israel•Palestinian Authority•Rafah•Egypt•Gaza

Resolution / Starting Odds

Israel • 25%

Egypt • 25%

U.S. • 25%

Palestinian Authority • 25%

Official announcements from the U.S. State Department, Israeli government, Palestinian Authority, and Egypt

Who will be the primary mediator in the ceasefire deal by December 31, 2024?

Israel•Palestinian Authority•Rafah•Egypt•Gaza

Resolution / Starting Odds

Other • 25%

U.S. • 25%

Egypt • 25%

United Nations • 25%

Official announcements from the U.S. State Department, Israeli government, Palestinian Authority, and Egypt