Law is unconstitutional • 50%

Law is upheld • 50%

ByteDance retains its stake • 50%

ByteDance sells its stake • 50%

No enforcement action taken • 50%

Enforcement action taken • 50%

Decrease in global user base • 25%

Increase in global user base • 25%

Shift in user demographics • 25%

No significant change in global user base • 25%

Significant positive impact on ByteDance valuation • 25%

No significant change in ByteDance valuation • 25%

Significant negative impact on ByteDance valuation • 25%

Mixed or unclear impact on ByteDance valuation • 25%

U.S. government wins lawsuit • 33%

Case settled out of court • 34%

TikTok wins • 33%

TikTok loses • 33%

Settlement reached • 34%

TikTok wins lawsuit • 33%