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VisitSEC to Decide on Ethereum ETF Approval This Week as Odds Rise to 75%
May 20, 2024, 10:36 PM
The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) is set to make a decision on the approval of spot Ethereum (ETH) exchange-traded funds (ETFs) this week, with deadlines for VanEck and Ark Invest/21Shares on May 23 and May 24, respectively. Market sentiment has shifted dramatically, with Bloomberg analysts increasing the odds of approval to 75%, up from 25%. This has led to a surge in Ethereum's price, which has risen by 20% to over $3,700. Coinbase estimates the approval chance at 30-40%, while Polymarket's odds have jumped to 68%. The potential approval is seen as a significant political shift, possibly influenced by the Biden administration's desire to appear more crypto-friendly. The market's anticipation of the SEC decision has resulted in Ethereum's largest single-day market cap gain, adding $70.7 billion.
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Markets
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Cryptocurrency market data platforms such as Coinbase
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Official SEC announcement
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official SEC announcement
Increase by $10 billion to $40 billion • 25%
Increase by less than $10 billion • 25%
Increase by over $70 billion • 25%
Increase by $40 billion to $70 billion • 25%
Cryptocurrency market cap tracking platforms
Decrease in ETH, increase in BTC • 25%
Significant increase in BTC and ETH • 25%
Significant decrease in BTC and ETH • 25%
Increase in ETH, decrease in BTC • 25%
Cryptocurrency market data platforms
Neither approved • 33%
Both approved • 33%
VanEck approved only • 33%
Ark Invest/21Shares approved only • 33%
Official SEC announcements