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Scotland's First Minister Humza Yousaf Resigns Immediately, Triggering SNP Leadership Race

Apr 29, 2024, 11:06 AM

Scotland's First Minister, Humza Yousaf, announced his resignation today, effective immediately, due to mounting political pressure and ahead of two scheduled votes of no confidence this week. He stated he would remain in office until a successor is elected, triggering a leadership race within the Scottish National Party (SNP).

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Will a non-major SNP leader become the next First Minister of Scotland by 2024?

Scotland•Humza Yousaf•Scottish National Party•SNP

Resolution / Starting Odds

Yes • 50%

No • 50%

Official results from the Scottish National Party leadership race.

Will SNP maintain/increase its seats in the Scottish Parliament post-leadership change?

Scotland•Humza Yousaf•Scottish National Party•SNP

Resolution / Starting Odds

Yes • 50%

No • 50%

Official election results from the Scottish Parliament elections.

Will the new SNP leader call for a Scottish independence referendum in 2024?

Scotland•Humza Yousaf•Scottish National Party•SNP

Resolution / Starting Odds

No • 50%

Yes • 50%

Public announcements or official documents from the Scottish National Party or the new First Minister.

Next First Minister of Scotland after Humza Yousaf

Scotland•Humza Yousaf•Scottish National Party•SNP

Resolution / Starting Odds

Kate Forbes • 25%

Other • 25%

John Swinney • 25%

Angus Robertson • 25%

Official results from the Scottish National Party leadership election.

Primary campaign focus of the new SNP leader

Scotland•Humza Yousaf•Scottish National Party•SNP

Resolution / Starting Odds

Social policies • 30%

Scottish independence • 40%

Economic policies • 30%

Campaign materials and public speeches of the newly elected SNP leader.

Timeline for SNP selecting a new leader after Yousaf's resignation

Scotland•Humza Yousaf•Scottish National Party•SNP

Resolution / Starting Odds

Over 2 months • 34%

Within 1 month • 33%

1-2 months • 33%

Announcements from the Scottish National Party regarding the leadership election timeline.