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Rocket Sirens Sound in Tel Aviv for First Time in Months as Hamas Fires Rockets from Gaza

May 26, 2024, 11:53 AM

Rocket sirens blared in Tel Aviv for the first time in months on May 26, as Hamas claimed responsibility for firing a barrage of rockets from Gaza. The sirens, which also sounded across central Israel, marked a significant escalation in the ongoing conflict between Israel and Hamas. The Israel Defense Forces (IDF) confirmed the rocket fire, highlighting the heightened tensions in the region. Hamas reportedly fired hundreds of rockets.

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Ceasefire Agreement by August 31?

Tel Aviv•Hamas•Gaza•Israel•Israel Defense Forces•IDF

Resolution / Starting Odds

Yes • 50%

No • 50%

Confirmed by major international news outlets like BBC, CNN, and Al Jazeera

IDF to increase ground operations in Gaza by August 2024?

Tel Aviv•Hamas•Gaza•Israel•Israel Defense Forces•IDF

Resolution / Starting Odds

Yes • 50%

No • 50%

Reports from the Israel Defense Forces and coverage by major international news outlets

Israel Military Response by June 30?

Tel Aviv•Hamas•Gaza•Israel•Israel Defense Forces•IDF

Resolution / Starting Odds

Yes • 50%

No • 50%

Confirmed by major international news outlets like BBC, CNN, and Al Jazeera

New Peace Talks Initiation by Year-End?

Tel Aviv•Hamas•Gaza•Israel•Israel Defense Forces•IDF

Resolution / Starting Odds

No • 50%

Yes • 50%

Confirmed by major international news outlets and official government press releases

UN Security Council to address May 2024 rocket fire by July 2024?

Tel Aviv•Hamas•Gaza•Israel•Israel Defense Forces•IDF

Resolution / Starting Odds

No • 50%

Yes • 50%

Official UN Security Council schedule and resolutions

Amount of humanitarian aid sent to Gaza by August 2024

Tel Aviv•Hamas•Gaza•Israel•Israel Defense Forces•IDF

Resolution / Starting Odds

$10 million to $50 million • 25%

Below $10 million • 25%

Above $100 million • 25%

$50 million to $100 million • 25%

Reports from international humanitarian organizations and UN agencies

First International Body to Condemn Hamas Rocket Fire

Tel Aviv•Hamas•Gaza•Israel•Israel Defense Forces•IDF

Resolution / Starting Odds

European Union • 33%

United Nations • 33%

Arab League • 34%

Official statements released by international bodies

International response types to May 2024 rocket fire by July 2024

Tel Aviv•Hamas•Gaza•Israel•Israel Defense Forces•IDF

Resolution / Starting Odds

Condemnation only • 25%

Economic sanctions • 25%

No official response • 25%

Military support to Israel • 25%

Official statements from international governments and organizations

Mediator of Next Israel-Hamas Peace Talks

Tel Aviv•Hamas•Gaza•Israel•Israel Defense Forces•IDF

Resolution / Starting Odds

United States • 25%

Egypt • 25%

Qatar • 25%

United Nations • 25%

Confirmed by major international news outlets and official government press releases

Number of rockets fired by Hamas by end of June 2024

Tel Aviv•Hamas•Gaza•Israel•Israel Defense Forces•IDF

Resolution / Starting Odds

51-100 rockets • 25%

101-150 rockets • 25%

More than 150 rockets • 25%

0-50 rockets • 25%

Reports from the Israel Defense Forces and major international news agencies

Outcome of Next Major International Israel-Hamas Meeting

Tel Aviv•Hamas•Gaza•Israel•Israel Defense Forces•IDF

Resolution / Starting Odds

Increased sanctions on Hamas • 25%

No significant outcome • 25%

Proposal for a new ceasefire • 25%

Military aid to Israel • 25%

Summary reports from the meeting released by participant states or international news outlets