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VisitReform UK Overtakes Conservatives in YouGov Poll with 19% to 18%
Jun 13, 2024, 10:24 PM
Nigel Farage's Reform UK party has overtaken the Conservatives in several polls for the first time, marking a significant shift in the UK's political landscape. According to a YouGov poll conducted on June 12-13, Reform UK garnered 19% of the vote, surpassing the Conservatives at 18%, while Labour leads with 37%. This development has been described as a major psychological blow to Prime Minister Rishi Sunak, who has urged voters not to give Labour a 'blank cheque' by voting for Reform UK. Farage has declared Reform UK as the 'real opposition' to Labour and expressed his willingness to lead a merged Conservative-Reform party. The latest polls reflect a broader trend of declining support for the Conservatives and increasing support for Reform UK, which has also been noted in other recent surveys. Farage's party has gained traction among men, Brexit voters, and working-class voters, outperforming the Conservatives in almost all age groups except pensioners. Farage also leveraged the momentum during an ITV debate, emphasizing Reform UK's new status. The upcoming general election on July 4th will be a critical test for both parties.
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Markets
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Official announcements from the Conservative Party and Reform UK
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Official announcements from the Conservative Party
Labour • 33%
Conservatives • 33%
Reform UK • 33%
YouGov and other major polling firms
Liberal Democrats • 25%
Labour • 25%
Reform UK • 25%
Conservatives • 25%
Official election results published by the UK Electoral Commission
Other • 25%
Rishi Sunak remains leader • 33%
David Cameron becomes leader • 33%
Other candidate becomes leader • 34%
Rishi Sunak • 25%
Nigel Farage • 25%
Boris Johnson • 25%
Official announcements from the Conservative Party