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On Monday, Biden Authorizes Ukraine to Strike Russia with U.S. Long-Range Missiles

Nov 18, 2024, 02:15 PM

On Monday, President Joe Biden authorized Ukraine to use U.S.-supplied long-range missiles for strikes inside Russia. This decision has been met with ominous warnings from Moscow and mixed reactions globally. The authorization allows Ukraine to target deeper into Russian territory, marking a significant escalation in the ongoing conflict.

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Will NATO formally respond to Ukraine-Russia escalation by March 31, 2025?

Joe Biden•Ukraine•Russia•Moscow•Russian

Resolution / Starting Odds

No • 50%

Yes • 50%

Official NATO press releases or statements

Will Russia retaliate against Ukraine by Feb 28, 2025, following U.S. missile use?

Joe Biden•Ukraine•Russia•Moscow•Russian

Resolution / Starting Odds

No • 50%

Yes • 50%

Reports from credible international news agencies and official Russian government announcements

Will Ukraine strike inside Russia with U.S. missiles by end of 2024?

Joe Biden•Ukraine•Russia•Moscow•Russian

Resolution / Starting Odds

No • 50%

Yes • 50%

Official statements from the Ukrainian government or reports from credible international news agencies

What will be the international reaction to U.S. missile authorization for Ukraine by Jan 31, 2025?

Joe Biden•Ukraine•Russia•Moscow•Russian

Resolution / Starting Odds

Majority opposed • 25%

Majority supportive • 25%

No significant reaction • 25%

Mixed reactions • 25%

Statements from major international governments and organizations reported by credible news agencies

What will be the outcome of Ukraine's use of U.S. missiles by June 30, 2025?

Joe Biden•Ukraine•Russia•Moscow•Russian

Resolution / Starting Odds

Limited impact • 25%

Ceasefire negotiations • 25%

Significant military success • 25%

Escalation of conflict • 25%

Reports from credible international news agencies and official statements from involved governments

Will there be a change in U.S. military aid to Ukraine by April 30, 2025?

Joe Biden•Ukraine•Russia•Moscow•Russian

Resolution / Starting Odds

Complete withdrawal • 25%

Decrease in aid • 25%

No change • 25%

Increase in aid • 25%

Official announcements from the U.S. government or Department of Defense