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Mexico's Sheinbaum Prepares to Receive Deported Nationals, Reinforces Consular Support Amid Trump's Threats

Dec 19, 2024, 07:44 PM

Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum has announced that Mexico is prepared to receive its nationals living in the United States should President-elect Donald Trump follow through on his pledges to deport them. This statement comes in response to Trump's threats of mass deportations. Sheinbaum emphasized Mexico's readiness to support its citizens abroad, reinforcing consular presence in the US to assist with potential deportations. The Mexican Foreign Affairs Ministry has clarified that while the country will accept its own nationals, it will not serve as a 'safe third country' for migrants of other nationalities. On the occasion of the Día Internacional del Migrante, Sheinbaum presented the 'Himno Migrante', a song dedicated to the over 12 million Mexicans living in the US. Additionally, Mexico is implementing a legal defense strategy and simplifying procedures to support its citizens facing potential deportation.

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Mexico implements simplified return procedures for deported nationals by end of 2024?

Claudia Sheinbaum•Mexico•United States•Donald Trump•Trump•Sheinbaum•US•Mexican Foreign Affairs Ministry•Día Internacional del Migrante•Himno Migrante•Mexican

Resolution / Starting Odds

No • 50%

Yes • 50%

Official Mexican government publications or press releases

Mexico increases consular offices in US by end of 2025?

Claudia Sheinbaum•Mexico•United States•Donald Trump•Trump•Sheinbaum•US•Mexican Foreign Affairs Ministry•Día Internacional del Migrante•Himno Migrante•Mexican

Resolution / Starting Odds

Yes • 50%

No • 50%

Official announcements from the Mexican Foreign Affairs Ministry or Mexican government publications

Mexico-US legal defense agreement for deported nationals by mid-2025?

Claudia Sheinbaum•Mexico•United States•Donald Trump•Trump•Sheinbaum•US•Mexican Foreign Affairs Ministry•Día Internacional del Migrante•Himno Migrante•Mexican

Resolution / Starting Odds

Yes • 50%

No • 50%

Official announcements from Mexican or US government sources

Will mass deportations of Mexican nationals from the US occur by June 30, 2025?

Claudia Sheinbaum•Mexico•United States•Donald Trump•Trump•Sheinbaum•US•Mexican Foreign Affairs Ministry•Día Internacional del Migrante•Himno Migrante•Mexican

Resolution / Starting Odds

Yes • 50%

No • 50%

Official announcements from the US Department of Homeland Security or US Immigration and Customs Enforcement

Will Mexico implement a legal defense strategy for its nationals in the US by December 31, 2025?

Claudia Sheinbaum•Mexico•United States•Donald Trump•Trump•Sheinbaum•US•Mexican Foreign Affairs Ministry•Día Internacional del Migrante•Himno Migrante•Mexican

Resolution / Starting Odds

Yes • 50%

No • 50%

Official announcements from the Mexican government or Mexican Foreign Affairs Ministry

Will Mexico increase its consular offices in the US by 20% by mid-2025?

Claudia Sheinbaum•Mexico•United States•Donald Trump•Trump•Sheinbaum•US•Mexican Foreign Affairs Ministry•Día Internacional del Migrante•Himno Migrante•Mexican

Resolution / Starting Odds

Yes • 50%

No • 50%

Mexican Foreign Affairs Ministry announcements or official records

Will Mexico increase its consular offices in the US by December 31, 2025?

Claudia Sheinbaum•Mexico•United States•Donald Trump•Trump•Sheinbaum•US•Mexican Foreign Affairs Ministry•Día Internacional del Migrante•Himno Migrante•Mexican

Resolution / Starting Odds

Yes • 50%

No • 50%

Official announcements from the Mexican Foreign Affairs Ministry

Will Mexico increase its consular offices in the US in 2025?

Claudia Sheinbaum•Mexico•United States•Donald Trump•Trump•Sheinbaum•US•Mexican Foreign Affairs Ministry•Día Internacional del Migrante•Himno Migrante•Mexican

Resolution / Starting Odds

Yes • 50%

No • 50%

Official statements from the Mexican Foreign Affairs Ministry or reports from reputable news sources

Will Mexico legally challenge US deportation policies in 2025?

Claudia Sheinbaum•Mexico•United States•Donald Trump•Trump•Sheinbaum•US•Mexican Foreign Affairs Ministry•Día Internacional del Migrante•Himno Migrante•Mexican

Resolution / Starting Odds

Yes • 50%

No • 50%

Reports from major news outlets or official Mexican government statements

Will Mexico receive over 100,000 deported nationals from the US by end of 2025?

Claudia Sheinbaum•Mexico•United States•Donald Trump•Trump•Sheinbaum•US•Mexican Foreign Affairs Ministry•Día Internacional del Migrante•Himno Migrante•Mexican

Resolution / Starting Odds

Yes • 50%

No • 50%

Official statistics from the Mexican government or relevant US agencies

Will Trump administration announce mass deportation policy targeting Mexican nationals by March 2025?

Claudia Sheinbaum•Mexico•United States•Donald Trump•Trump•Sheinbaum•US•Mexican Foreign Affairs Ministry•Día Internacional del Migrante•Himno Migrante•Mexican

Resolution / Starting Odds

No • 50%

Yes • 50%

Official announcements from the US government or credible news sources

Will Trump administration implement mass deportations of Mexicans in the US in 2025?

Claudia Sheinbaum•Mexico•United States•Donald Trump•Trump•Sheinbaum•US•Mexican Foreign Affairs Ministry•Día Internacional del Migrante•Himno Migrante•Mexican

Resolution / Starting Odds

Yes • 50%

No • 50%

Official announcements from the U.S. Department of Homeland Security or major news outlets reporting on U.S. immigration policy changes

How many Mexican nationals will be deported from the US in 2025?

Claudia Sheinbaum•Mexico•United States•Donald Trump•Trump•Sheinbaum•US•Mexican Foreign Affairs Ministry•Día Internacional del Migrante•Himno Migrante•Mexican

Resolution / Starting Odds

Less than 50,000 • 25%

More than 300,000 • 25%

200,001 to 300,000 • 25%

100,000 to 200,000 • 25%

Less than 100,000 • 25%

More than 150,000 • 25%

100,001 to 150,000 • 25%

50,000 to 100,000 • 25%

US Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) deportation statistics or reports from major news outlets

Outcome of Mexico's legal strategy to protect nationals in US by mid-2025?

Claudia Sheinbaum•Mexico•United States•Donald Trump•Trump•Sheinbaum•US•Mexican Foreign Affairs Ministry•Día Internacional del Migrante•Himno Migrante•Mexican

Resolution / Starting Odds

Successful legal protections established • 25%

Partial legal protections established • 25%

Legal challenges ongoing • 25%

No significant legal protections established • 25%

Official statements from the Mexican government or international legal bodies

Primary focus of Mexico's response to US mass deportations in 2025?

Claudia Sheinbaum•Mexico•United States•Donald Trump•Trump•Sheinbaum•US•Mexican Foreign Affairs Ministry•Día Internacional del Migrante•Himno Migrante•Mexican

Resolution / Starting Odds

Economic reintegration programs • 25%

International diplomacy efforts • 25%

Increasing consular support • 25%

Legal defense initiatives • 25%

Official Mexican government announcements or policy documents

US state with largest increase in Mexican consular support by end of 2025?

Claudia Sheinbaum•Mexico•United States•Donald Trump•Trump•Sheinbaum•US•Mexican Foreign Affairs Ministry•Día Internacional del Migrante•Himno Migrante•Mexican

Resolution / Starting Odds

Texas • 25%

California • 25%

Illinois • 25%

New York • 25%

Reports from the Mexican Foreign Affairs Ministry or local US news outlets

What actions will Mexico take to support its nationals in the US by December 31, 2025?

Claudia Sheinbaum•Mexico•United States•Donald Trump•Trump•Sheinbaum•US•Mexican Foreign Affairs Ministry•Día Internacional del Migrante•Himno Migrante•Mexican

Resolution / Starting Odds

Increased legal support • 25%

No significant actions • 25%

Financial assistance programs • 25%

Public awareness campaigns • 25%

Official reports from the Mexican government or news coverage

What will be Mexico's diplomatic response to potential US deportations by December 31, 2025?

Claudia Sheinbaum•Mexico•United States•Donald Trump•Trump•Sheinbaum•US•Mexican Foreign Affairs Ministry•Día Internacional del Migrante•Himno Migrante•Mexican

Resolution / Starting Odds

Negotiated agreement with the US • 25%

Strengthened consular support • 25%

Formal diplomatic protest • 25%

No significant action • 25%

Official announcements from the Mexican government, US government, or international diplomatic reports

What will be Mexico's stance on being a 'safe third country' for migrants by December 31, 2025?

Claudia Sheinbaum•Mexico•United States•Donald Trump•Trump•Sheinbaum•US•Mexican Foreign Affairs Ministry•Día Internacional del Migrante•Himno Migrante•Mexican

Resolution / Starting Odds

Agrees to be a 'safe third country' • 25%

Maintains current stance • 25%

No clear resolution • 25%

Seeks alternative international solutions • 25%

Official statements from the Mexican Foreign Affairs Ministry or international agreements

What will be the main outcome of Mexico's diplomatic efforts with the US regarding deportations in 2025?

Claudia Sheinbaum•Mexico•United States•Donald Trump•Trump•Sheinbaum•US•Mexican Foreign Affairs Ministry•Día Internacional del Migrante•Himno Migrante•Mexican

Resolution / Starting Odds

Bilateral agreements on migration • 25%

Increased consular support • 25%

Reduction in deportations • 25%

No significant change • 25%

Official announcements from the Mexican or US governments or reports from major news outlets

What will be the outcome of Mexico's legal defense strategy for deported nationals by end of 2025?

Claudia Sheinbaum•Mexico•United States•Donald Trump•Trump•Sheinbaum•US•Mexican Foreign Affairs Ministry•Día Internacional del Migrante•Himno Migrante•Mexican

Resolution / Starting Odds

Highly successful • 25%

Unsuccessful • 25%

Minimally successful • 25%

Moderately successful • 25%

Reports from Mexican government or credible news outlets

What will be the primary focus of Mexico's legal defense strategy for deported nationals in 2025?

Claudia Sheinbaum•Mexico•United States•Donald Trump•Trump•Sheinbaum•US•Mexican Foreign Affairs Ministry•Día Internacional del Migrante•Himno Migrante•Mexican

Resolution / Starting Odds

Legal representation in US courts • 25%

Assistance with documentation • 25%

Reintegration programs in Mexico • 25%

Other • 25%

Official statements from the Mexican government or reports from major news outlets

What will be the primary reason for Mexican nationals returning from the US in 2025?

Claudia Sheinbaum•Mexico•United States•Donald Trump•Trump•Sheinbaum•US•Mexican Foreign Affairs Ministry•Día Internacional del Migrante•Himno Migrante•Mexican

Resolution / Starting Odds

Economic reasons • 25%

Voluntary return • 25%

Deportation • 25%

Other • 25%

Surveys or studies conducted by Mexican government or academic institutions

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