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Mexico Requests Ecuador on August 5 to Allow Jailed Ex-VP Glas to Leave Country

Aug 5, 2024, 11:55 PM

The Mexican government has formally requested on August 5 that Ecuador allow its jailed former Vice President Jorge Glas to leave the country. This request seeks a safe passage for Glas to relocate to a third country. Glas, who is currently imprisoned, has been the subject of diplomatic discussions between Mexico and Ecuador. This follows an incident in April involving Ecuadorian authorities.

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Will a diplomatic incident arise between Mexico and Ecuador over Jorge Glas by December 31, 2024?

Mexican•Ecuador•Jorge Glas•Glas•Mexico•Ecuadorian

Resolution / Starting Odds

No • 50%

Yes • 50%

Official statements from either government or credible news sources reporting on the incident

Will Ecuador grant Mexico's request for Jorge Glas to leave the country by December 31, 2024?

Mexican•Ecuador•Jorge Glas•Glas•Mexico•Ecuadorian

Resolution / Starting Odds

No • 50%

Yes • 50%

Official announcements from the Ecuadorian or Mexican government, or credible news sources

Will Jorge Glas relocate to a third country by December 31, 2024?

Mexican•Ecuador•Jorge Glas•Glas•Mexico•Ecuadorian

Resolution / Starting Odds

Yes • 50%

No • 50%

Official announcements or credible news sources reporting on Jorge Glas's relocation

If allowed to leave Ecuador, which country will Jorge Glas relocate to by December 31, 2024?

Mexican•Ecuador•Jorge Glas•Glas•Mexico•Ecuadorian

Resolution / Starting Odds

Mexico • 25%

Other • 25%

Argentina • 25%

Spain • 25%

Official announcements or credible news sources reporting on Jorge Glas's relocation

What will be the outcome of Mexico's request for Jorge Glas to leave Ecuador by December 31, 2024?

Mexican•Ecuador•Jorge Glas•Glas•Mexico•Ecuadorian

Resolution / Starting Odds

Request Denied • 25%

Other • 25%

Request Granted • 25%

No Decision Made • 25%

Official announcements from the Ecuadorian or Mexican government, or credible news sources

What will be the resolution of Jorge Glas's legal status in Ecuador by December 31, 2024?

Mexican•Ecuador•Jorge Glas•Glas•Mexico•Ecuadorian

Resolution / Starting Odds

No Change • 25%

Released • 25%

Transferred to Another Prison • 25%

Granted House Arrest • 25%

Official announcements from the Ecuadorian government or credible news sources